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Platform review

Probable review

BNB Chain prediction market with a published Predict.fun acquisition notice

Crypto❌ Unavailable

In United States: United States is named on Probable's Restricted Jurisdictions page (no date shown); access and use prohibited for residents, citizens or persons located there.

Risk flags

Flags are rules over the facts on record, the same for every platform — how they work.

Verified documents & product scope

Check country eligibility

Choose the country you want to check. This lookup does not change your site region or establish individual account approval.

What fees does Probable charge?

Probable states: “Only takers pay fees. Makers trade free.” Taker fees “range from 0.01% up to 1.75%, depending on market price”, highest at a 50% probability; the curve is published as a chart, not a formula.

Probable covers gas for trade execution and settlement, splitting and merging carry no fee, and “there is no withdrawal fee charged by Probable” — network gas on deposits and withdrawals is the user’s (docs.probable.markets, read 2 Oct 2026).

These are document checks, not a funded-account test. Access may depend on residence, physical location, account approval and the contract category. Check the operator’s current terms before depositing.

Learn how play-money and real-money markets differ, use the fee and payout tools, or read our review methodology.

See our Platform documentation audit for the method and downloadable source register.

  • Probable homepage — checked

    The public homepage states that Probable has been acquired by Predict.fun and displays a fee-refund and points-conversion notice. This is an operator announcement; redemption, custody and migration were not tested.

  • Probable fees — checked

    Taker-only fee of 0.01%–1.75% by price, highest at 50%; gas covered for trading and settlement.

  • Probable — withdraw funds — checked

    “There is no withdrawal fee charged by Probable.”

Pros and cons

What works

  • A public acquisition notice identifies Predict.fun as the acquiring platform

What doesn’t

  • Independent trading availability after the acquisition has not been verified
  • The refund and migration process has not been tested
  • Current operator, fees, eligibility and custody terms remain incomplete

Public website & interface

Dated website captures for identification and interface context. Displayed prices are historical; these images do not establish account eligibility or a funded-account test.

Prices and liquidity

We do not currently publish live quotes for Probable. Check the platform’s order book before placing an order: the last trade can differ from the price available for your position size.

How to assess liquidity and spreads →

Probable acquisition: current product status

On 16 September 2026, the official Probable homepage displayed an announcement that Probable had been acquired by Predict.fun. It also displayed a fee-refund and points-conversion notice. These are operator statements; we have not connected a wallet or tested the claim process.

Earlier observations of the standalone BNB Chain market board do not establish its current trading availability. Before treating it as an alternative to Predict.fun, check the current product and migration documentation. We have not verified the operator, country eligibility, fees, custody arrangements or settlement of existing positions following the acquisition.

What the preliminary score means

The displayed preliminary assessment reflects limited public-document research. It is not a funded-account test, a migration assessment or a guarantee that trading and withdrawals are available. Our earlier resolution research concerned published UMA-oracle documentation; its applicability after the acquisition still needs confirmation.

For the acquiring platform, read our Predict.fun review. Its terms and country restrictions require a separate assessment; an acquisition does not automatically make either product available to a particular user.

Probable FAQ

Has Probable been acquired by Predict.fun?

The official Probable homepage displayed an acquisition announcement naming Predict.fun when checked on 16 September 2026. The announcement is a statement by the operator. We have not independently verified the transaction or tested account migration.

Can I still trade or claim a refund on Probable?

Current standalone trading and the displayed fee-refund process have not been tested. The public notice is not proof of account eligibility, refund entitlement or successful withdrawal. Check the operator’s current terms and support information before taking action.

What fees does Probable charge?

Probable states: “Only takers pay fees. Makers trade free.” Taker fees “range from 0.01% up to 1.75%, depending on market price”, highest at a 50% probability; the curve is published as a chart, not a formula.

Probable covers gas for trade execution and settlement, splitting and merging carry no fee, and “there is no withdrawal fee charged by Probable” — network gas on deposits and withdrawals is the user’s (docs.probable.markets, read 2 Oct 2026).

Is Probable regulated?

The public homepage announces acquisition by Predict.fun. Current operator, licence, custody and country eligibility after the acquisition have not been verified. Checked 16 September 2026.

What can you trade on Probable?

Event contracts on sports and crypto. Individual markets open and close, so check the live list before depositing.

Alternatives to Probable

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Authorship

Written by Prediction Markets Best editorial