Best crypto prediction markets

On-chain prediction markets only: platforms where you trade from your own wallet and settle in stablecoins, ranked by Editor Score.

They reach more countries than regulated exchanges, and most publish a list of the jurisdictions they block. They also shift risk to you: you hold your own funds, and a disputed market is decided by an oracle process rather than an exchange’s rulebook.

Live prices: Bitcoin and Ether price levels for 2026.

Ranked platforms

  1. Alpha Arcade

    5.1/10preliminary
    Crypto✅ Available

    Not on Alpha Arcade’s list of restricted jurisdictions. Absence from the list does not by itself establish that an individual may use the platform.

  2. Delphi

    3.5/10preliminary
    Crypto✅ Available

    Not on Delphi’s list of restricted jurisdictions. Absence from the list does not by itself establish that an individual may use the platform.

  3. Polymarket

    6.9/10preliminary
    Crypto⚠️ Restrictions

    The international polymarket.com site is closed to US residents: no deposits and no trades. The help centre lists the US as blocked and the API docs list it as close-only. US residents are sent to the separate Polymarket US app, run by QCX LLC (a CFTC DCM). Polymarket US state-level eligibility was not verified because its ToS page loads its text client-side.

  4. ParamX

    4.4/10preliminary
    CryptoAvailability unverified
  5. Precog Markets

    4.2/10preliminary
    CryptoAvailability unverified
  6. Seer

    3.9/10preliminary
    CryptoAvailability unverified
  7. STRATO Odds

    3.8/10preliminary
    CryptoAvailability unverified
  8. Worm

    3.3/10preliminary
    CryptoAvailability unverified
  9. HypeMarket

    3.3/10preliminary
    CryptoAvailability unverified
  10. Hedgehog Markets

    1.7/10preliminary
    CryptoAvailability unverified
  11. Dexsport

    7.3/10
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    General Terms: users must not reside in, be citizens of or be incorporated in the USA; using a VPN to get round this is prohibited.

  12. Opinion

    5.7/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    United States named in the Restricted Jurisdictions list; trading not permitted. Terms of Use (no date shown), Restricted Jurisdictions clause.

  13. Predict.fun

    5.4/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    USA named as a restricted jurisdiction; trading not permitted, content features only. Terms of Service last updated November 18, 2025.

  14. Pascal

    5.3/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in Pascal’s terms.

  15. Trueo

    5.2/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Contracts and services are not offered to US Persons. Terms of Use (no date shown).

  16. Myriad Markets

    5.0/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    United States of America is a Prohibited Territory; trading in Supported Contracts not permitted. Terms of Use updated January 13, 2026, section 2 Prohibited Territories.

  17. Meridian Predict

    4.7/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in Meridian Predict’s terms.

  18. Limitless Exchange

    4.5/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Platform is not available for trading to users from the USA. Terms of Service last updated September 15, 2026, section 1 Eligibility.

  19. SX Bet

    4.4/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in SX Bet’s terms.

  20. PRED

    4.3/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in PRED’s terms.

  21. Ratio

    4.2/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in Ratio’s terms.

  22. Overtime

    4.2/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in Overtime’s terms.

  23. Hermes Trade

    3.7/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in Hermes Trade’s terms.

  24. Hyperliquid

    3.6/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Terms (updated 15 Jun 2026) s.1.6 treats US residents, US-located persons and US entities as Restricted Persons barred from the whole interface, including HIP-4 outcome markets.

  25. Prophet Prediction Market

    3.5/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in Prophet Prediction Market’s terms.

  26. Azuro

    3.0/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in Azuro’s terms.

  27. Levr Bet

    2.9/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in Levr Bet’s terms.

  28. Space

    2.6/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Terms of Service (no date shown) state the Services are not available to US Persons, including those accessing from US territory.

  29. Xmarket

    2.6/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    United States named as a Restricted Jurisdiction; Restricted Persons must not use the Services. Terms & Conditions last updated September 25, 2025 (embedded at xmarket.app/terms), section 3.2.

  30. GameClub

    2.3/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in GameClub’s terms.

  31. CRSHMARKET

    2.1/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in CRSHMARKET’s terms.

  32. Probable

    1.8/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    United States is named on Probable's Restricted Jurisdictions page (no date shown); access and use prohibited for residents, citizens or persons located there.

Every platform reviewed

1. Alpha Arcade

5.1Prelim

Taker 0.07×p×(1−p); maker 0
Fees
7
Markets
AvailableFull review

2. Delphi

3.5Prelim

Creator-set, default 2% per trade
Fees
6
Markets
AvailableFull review

3. Polymarket

6.9Prelim

Strengths

  • Deepest liquidity in the category on major markets
  • Fastest listing of new events
  • No maker trading fees under the published schedule
  • Public API with full order book access

Watch out

  • Requires a wallet and USDC — no fiat rails
  • International product has country restrictions; Polymarket US is separate
  • Thin depth on long-tail markets
  • Network fees apply to deposits and withdrawals
$2
Min deposit
0% maker · taker by category and price
Fees
7
Markets
2020
Since
Go to Polymarket →Full review

4. ParamX

4.4Prelim

0.30% taker, 0% maker
Fees
2
Markets
Availability unverifiedFull review

5. Precog Markets

4.2Prelim

No buy fee; market-set sell fee
Fees
6
Markets
Availability unverifiedFull review

6. Seer

3.9Prelim

4
Markets
Availability unverifiedFull review

7. STRATO Odds

3.8Prelim

2% taker, 0% maker, 0.01 USDST/tx
Fees
2
Markets
Availability unverifiedFull review

8. Worm

3.3Prelim

3
Markets
Availability unverifiedFull review

9. HypeMarket

3.3Prelim

1% per trade + 0–2% creator fee
Fees
2
Markets
Availability unverifiedFull review

10. Hedgehog Markets

1.7Prelim

Strengths

  • Trading mechanics are visible in the application itself
  • The venue states its own scope: permissionless prediction markets on Solana and Eclipse
  • Featured markets display their own liquidity figures, so the depth is visible before you connect
  • Runs on Solana and Eclipse, so settlement and balances are on a public chain rather than an operator’s ledger
  • No terms means no clause asking you to waive recourse — thin comfort, but several venues here do ask

Watch out

  • Nothing is published about how markets resolve: eleven likely paths 404 and six documentation subdomains do not resolve
  • Market content sits behind Connect Wallet, so per-market rules cannot be read before connecting
  • No terms, no privacy policy and no named operator
  • Featured markets showed $38 and $503 of liquidity — at that depth a position of any size is the market
  • Third-party descriptions of an oracle are uncorroborated by anything the venue publishes, so they are not used here
4
Markets
Go to Hedgehog Markets →Full review

11. Dexsport

7.3Editor

Strengths

  • Gaming licence verified on the Anjouan register (ALSI-202508043-FI2, valid to 28 Aug 2027)
  • Prediction markets on politics, economics and crypto alongside a deep sportsbook
  • Deposits and withdrawals on 23 networks in 50+ cryptocurrencies, from a few cents
  • Smart-contract audits by CertiK and Pessimistic; bonus terms published in full

Watch out

  • No identity checks (“No KYC”): fewer protections if an account or funds are disputed
  • Offshore gambling licence only — no financial or derivatives regulator oversees it
  • Closed to the US and about 25 other countries; illegal to use in many others
  • About 7% margin in sampled sports odds; prediction-market fees are not published
  • A deposit must be wagered before it can be withdrawn; sports wins capped at $5,000
  • Disputes go to LCIA arbitration in London, with a class-action waiver
  • Casino bonus needs x40 wagering in 7 days, with capped winnings
No fee stated; ~7% margin in sampled odds
Fees
5
Markets
2021
Since
UnavailableFull review

12. Opinion

5.7Prelim

Strengths

  • The widest category set of any venue added to this site in September, including hourly crypto markets
  • Books were genuinely two-sided across four categories at once when we read them
  • Third in the category by reported volume, behind only Kalshi and Polymarket
  • Publishes concrete dispute terms — a window, a stake formula and the consequence of losing
  • Names its operator in its terms of use

Watch out

  • Closed to the United States, the United Kingdom and all of the European Union
  • The primary resolver is “Opinion AI”, with no account of its inputs, model or sources
  • The review step is written with no actor: who performs it is never identified
  • Whether the team can resolve or override a market itself is not addressed anywhere
  • Only one dispute is permitted per resolution, so the first challenger spends the market’s single appeal
  • No stated jurisdiction of incorporation, licence or regulator
Taker ≤1% by price, $0.25 min; maker rebate
Fees
5
Markets
Go to Opinion →Full review

13. Predict.fun

5.4Prelim

Strengths

  • Non-custodial: the venue never holds your balance
  • Zero maker fee, so posting liquidity costs only the spread you offer
  • Yield paid on USDT collateral while it sits against an open position — unique among the venues we cover
  • Six of the seven categories we track, the widest verified breadth of any venue we built from primary sources
  • Names its operating entity, which most on-chain venues do not

Watch out

  • Its own documentation describes two incompatible resolution mechanisms, both live on the same day
  • The developer page for the deployed oracle states “No bonding or dispute mechanism (simplified trust model)”
  • Admins can flag questions for emergency resolution, documented in developer pages rather than in the user terms
  • A role holder can settle Chainlink market rounds manually
  • No licence, no regulator, and no stated jurisdiction of incorporation
0% maker · taker by price
Fees
6
Markets
Go to Predict.fun →Full review

14. Pascal

5.3Prelim

Taker 2% x p x (1-p); makers get 25%
Fees
5
Markets
UnavailableFull review

15. Trueo

5.2Prelim

Strengths

  • A permissionless optimistic oracle: anyone may propose an outcome by posting a bond, opening a 12-hour challenge window
  • Four named escalation stages ending with 11 randomly selected attesters
  • Constrains its own privileged body — all Oracle Council decisions may be permissionlessly challenged
  • No admin override, emergency power or discretion clause attaches to market outcomes anywhere in the documentation
  • Names its operator and publishes a full restricted-territories list with “We do not make exceptions”

Watch out

  • None of the design is evidenced in operation: there is no public dispute record
  • The final escalation is gated at 250,000 liquid TRUE, putting the last word with large holders
  • Market creation is still restricted to Oracle Council members in the genesis phase
  • The sources a dispute is judged against are not fixed — alternatives may be used
  • No licence or regulator; Samoa incorporation carries no consumer protection a reader could invoke
4
Markets
Go to Trueo →Full review

16. Myriad Markets

5.0Prelim

Strengths

  • A three-dollar minimum, among the lowest barriers to entry we list
  • Zero maker fee
  • Per-market rules are published, so you can read what a contract turns on before trading
  • Settlement in USD1 or USDC.e, across crypto, politics, economy and sports

Watch out

  • The entire documented settlement process is one sentence: the team resolves
  • No oracle, no challenge window, no bond and no escalation anywhere in nineteen documentation pages
  • The only route offered to anyone disputing a settlement is a support ticket to the party that made it
  • The deployed contract carries an admin function that writes outcomes directly without calling an oracle
  • Myriad’s own commissioned audit says role holders have “control over which side wins”
  • The terms of use disclose no such role and reserve no such discretion
$3
Min deposit
0% maker · taker by price
Fees
4
Markets
Go to Myriad Markets →Full review

17. Meridian Predict

4.7Prelim

No trading fees
Fees
5
Markets
UnavailableFull review

18. Limitless Exchange

4.5Prelim

Strengths

  • Every YES + NO pair is fully collateralised by $1.00 USDC, so the money to pay the winner is locked at creation
  • Names its operator: Street Chow Inc., a Panamanian company, in terms dated 19 June 2026
  • Full market criteria are served to an unauthenticated API request
  • Publishes its refund policy plainly, which several venues in this pool do not

Watch out

  • The CFTC register entry reads Pending, not Designated — an application confers nothing
  • Settlement is centralised: Pyth resolves most markets, the Limitless team resolves the rest
  • No challenge window, no bond and no escalation; the documented remedy is an email
  • A misresolved market refunds only your stake, while the wrong side keeps its winnings
  • No licence or registration stated anywhere in its own documentation
AMM 0.40% · order-book taker varies
Fees
5
Markets
Go to Limitless Exchange →Full review

19. SX Bet

4.4Prelim

1% of net profit on taker bets · maker 0%
Fees
1
Markets
UnavailableFull review

20. PRED

4.3Prelim

Taker ≤2.5%×(1−p); makers 0%
Fees
1
Markets
UnavailableFull review

21. Ratio

4.2Prelim

UnavailableFull review

22. Overtime

4.2Prelim

2% protocol fee built into odds
Fees
2
Markets
UnavailableFull review

23. Hermes Trade

3.7Prelim

Taker fee (bps, via API); makers 0%
Fees
2
Markets
UnavailableFull review

24. Hyperliquid

3.6Prelim

Strengths

  • Question templates are voted on by validators before any market instantiates them
  • Ambiguity is pre-specified in the template text — draws, no contests, unlisted winners and missed deadlines all resolve to a stated value
  • The full settlement record is public and enumerable with no wallet
  • Contracts are fully collateralised and settle within a fixed range

Watch out

  • No dispute mechanism of any kind: a search of the whole documentation for dispute, challenge, bond, appeal and arbitration returns nothing
  • A single staked deployer key settles the market by submitting a fraction
  • The only page specifying who settles a deployer-registered market is subtitled “Testnet-only”, while mainnet markets are live
  • Template settlements must send an empty details field, so newer markets publish a number with no stated reasoning
  • The documented scope is one recurring BTC binary; multi-outcome markets are not in the initial release
  • No licence, operator, jurisdiction or age requirement stated; /terms returned HTTP 403
0% during testing; builder fees may apply
Fees
1
Markets
Go to Hyperliquid →Full review

25. Prophet Prediction Market

3.5Prelim

No commission; ~20% spread
Fees
7
Markets
UnavailableFull review

26. Azuro

3.0Prelim

Margin built into odds; varies by app
Fees
1
Markets
UnavailableFull review

27. Levr Bet

2.9Prelim

Opening fees unpublished; vault fee 0%
Fees
1
Markets
UnavailableFull review

28. Space

2.6Prelim

Strengths

  • Crypto markets resolve on a 15-minute TWAP with Pyth primary and Switchboard as a named fallback — manipulation-resistant by design
  • Real-world events require a 2-of-3 operator multisig rather than a single key
  • Publishes terms at all, which several venues in this cohort do not
  • Documents a 24-to-48-hour flagging route for incorrect resolutions

Watch out

  • The terms grant no right to flag: resolution criteria are “final and binding” and you waive claims over data sources, delays and voiding
  • Space “may cancel or void a Market at any time” and may extend the resolution period at sole discretion
  • It reserves the right to modify the underlying smart contracts at any time, which sits above the TWAP design
  • The AI validation step is undescribed — no model, inputs or evidence standard
  • The site carried no link to terms, privacy, legal, docs, about or FAQ, and /terms returned HTTP 500
  • No volume or depth data is published
Maker 0%; taker 0.02–2% buy, 0.02–1% sell
Fees
5
Markets
Go to Space →Full review

29. Xmarket

2.6Prelim

Strengths

  • Operator identified in the linked terms
  • Live and demo environments distinguished
  • Country restrictions are published
  • Market mechanics have separate documentation

Watch out

  • Full numerical fee schedule still needs verification
  • No funded test or withdrawal timing measured
  • Order-book depth has not been measured
  • Operator registration does not establish a trading licence
3
Markets
Go to Xmarket →Full review

30. GameClub

2.3Prelim

0% most; crypto taker ≤1.5%
Fees
4
Markets
2026
Since
UnavailableFull review

31. CRSHMARKET

2.1Prelim

5% of position at entry
Fees
2
Markets
UnavailableFull review

32. Probable

1.8Prelim

Strengths

  • A public acquisition notice identifies Predict.fun as the acquiring platform

Watch out

  • Independent trading availability after the acquisition has not been verified
  • The refund and migration process has not been tested
  • Current operator, fees, eligibility and custody terms remain incomplete
Taker 0.01%–1.75% by price; makers free
Fees
2
Markets
Go to Probable →Full review

How to choose

Read three things before depositing: the restricted-jurisdiction list in the terms (each review cites it), the fee on your trade size including network costs, and how the platform resolves a market it cannot settle cleanly. A venue with no refund path for an ambiguous question is a structural risk, not an edge case.

Token rewards and points programmes are common here. They are marketing; fees, depth and dispute handling matter more over time.