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Best prediction markets for economics and interest rates

Every scored platform that lists economic markets — Fed rate decisions, inflation prints, jobs numbers, GDP — ranked by Editor Score.

These are among the cleanest contracts to settle: they resolve on official data releases rather than on anyone’s judgement. What separates the platforms is cost, depth at the price you want, and whether you can use them where you live.

Live prices: Fed rate odds for the next FOMC meetings and US recession and inflation odds.

Updated

Ranked platforms

  1. Kalshi

    7.7/10preliminary
    Regulated✅ Available

    KalshiEX is a CFTC-designated contract market and its Member Agreement names no US state as restricted. State court orders block some contract categories in Nevada, Washington and Michigan; elsewhere its contracts are available. Kalshi is in litigation with about 20 states, so this can change quickly.

    Visit site →Read review

  2. OG

    7.1/10preliminary
    Regulated✅ Available

    Help centre: “currently available in all U.S. states”, though some event contracts may be unavailable in some states (not named). App Store: “Available in all 50 US states”. New York has separate funding and portfolio articles.

    Read review

  3. DraftKings Predictions

    6.3/10preliminary
    Broker✅ Available

    DraftKings' own availability page (updated 2026-07-22) lists 48 states for Predictions, plus DC and US territories. Access depends on physical location and excludes tribal land. Sports markets vary by state; the breakdown is shown only as an image that could not be read. The official availability page and Predictions Terms returned 403.

    Visit site →Read review

  4. FanDuel Predicts

    6.2/10preliminary
    Broker✅ Available

    FanDuel Predicts is available in all 50 states and DC. Users must be 18+ and verify their identity. It is not available on or near tribal land.

    Visit site →Read review

  5. Interactive Brokers ForecastTrader

    5.9/10preliminary
    Broker✅ Available

    Clients of Interactive Brokers LLC aged 21+ are eligible for event/forecast contracts; ForecastEx contracts on US election results are limited to eligible US residents.

    Visit site →Read review

  6. Crypto.com Prediction Markets

    5.8/10preliminary
    Regulated✅ Available

    Prediction Trading (and Sports Event Trading) is a CFTC-regulated feature of the Crypto.com App, offered through Crypto.com | Derivatives North America. The help centre says it is available in the US only.

    Visit site →Read review

  7. Alpha Arcade

    5.1/10preliminary
    Crypto✅ Available

    Not on Alpha Arcade’s list of restricted jurisdictions. Absence from the list does not by itself establish that an individual may use the platform.

    Read review

  8. PredictIt

    3.9/10preliminary
    Regulated✅ Available

    The Terms and Conditions limit participation to people aged 18 or older who are U.S. Persons. They name no US state as excluded. PredictIt runs under CFTC no-action relief.

    Visit site →Read review

  9. Delphi

    3.5/10preliminary
    Crypto✅ Available

    Not on Delphi’s list of restricted jurisdictions. Absence from the list does not by itself establish that an individual may use the platform.

    Read review

  10. Polymarket US

    7.3/10preliminary
    Regulated⚠️ Restrictions

    QCX LLC publishes no list of eligible or excluded states. A Nevada court granted a preliminary injunction against QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US on 29 May 2026 (Nevada Gaming Control Board). Missouri's Attorney General has sent a cease-and-desist over sports contracts, and New York has announced a lawsuit; neither state is marked closed because the operator has not said it geoblocks them.

    Read review

  11. Polymarket

    6.9/10preliminary
    Crypto⚠️ Restrictions

    The international polymarket.com site is closed to US residents: no deposits and no trades. The help centre lists the US as blocked and the API docs list it as close-only. US residents are sent to the separate Polymarket US app, run by QCX LLC (a CFTC DCM). Polymarket US state-level eligibility was not verified because its ToS page loads its text client-side.

    Visit site →Read review

  12. ADI PredictStreet

    6.3/10preliminary
    RegulatedAvailability unverified
    Read review

  13. ParamX

    4.4/10preliminary
    CryptoAvailability unverified
    Read review

  14. Precog Markets

    4.2/10preliminary
    CryptoAvailability unverified
    Read review

  15. Seer

    3.9/10preliminary
    CryptoAvailability unverified
    Read review

  16. STRATO Odds

    3.8/10preliminary
    CryptoAvailability unverified
    Read review

  17. Dexsport

    7.3/10
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    General Terms: users must not reside in, be citizens of or be incorporated in the USA; using a VPN to get round this is prohibited.

    Read review

  18. Opinion

    5.7/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    United States named in the Restricted Jurisdictions list; trading not permitted. Terms of Use (no date shown), Restricted Jurisdictions clause.

    Visit site →Read review

  19. Predict.fun

    5.4/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    USA named as a restricted jurisdiction; trading not permitted, content features only. Terms of Service last updated November 18, 2025.

    Visit site →Read review

  20. Pascal

    5.3/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in Pascal’s terms.

    Read review

  21. Trueo

    5.2/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Contracts and services are not offered to US Persons. Terms of Use (no date shown).

    Visit site →Read review

  22. Myriad Markets

    5.0/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    United States of America is a Prohibited Territory; trading in Supported Contracts not permitted. Terms of Use updated January 13, 2026, section 2 Prohibited Territories.

    Visit site →Read review

  23. Meridian Predict

    4.7/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in Meridian Predict’s terms.

    Read review

  24. Limitless Exchange

    4.5/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Platform is not available for trading to users from the USA. Terms of Service last updated September 15, 2026, section 1 Eligibility.

    Visit site →Read review

  25. Prophet Prediction Market

    3.5/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Listed as a restricted jurisdiction in Prophet Prediction Market’s terms.

    Read review

  26. Space

    2.6/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Terms of Service (no date shown) state the Services are not available to US Persons, including those accessing from US territory.

    Visit site →Read review

Every platform reviewed

1. Kalshi

CFTC-regulated event contract exchange

7.7Prelim

Strengths

  • CFTC-designated contract market
  • Fiat deposits and withdrawals, no wallet needed
  • Default maker fee is zero, with charged series exceptions
  • Mobile apps on both platforms

Watch out

  • Country restrictions and account approval apply to international users
  • Narrower market selection than on-chain venues
  • KYC required before you can trade
  • Trading fees vary by contract price and series
$10
Min deposit
Taker 0.07·P·(1−P) — 1.75¢ at 50¢
Fees
7
Markets
2021
Since
Go to Kalshi →Full review

2. OG

Crypto.com’s standalone prediction-market app, listed on the NADEX/CDNA exchange

7.1Prelim

$1
Min deposit
Taker 7%×P(1−P), maker 1.75%×P(1−P) /contract
Fees
6
Markets
2026
Since
AvailableFull review

3. DraftKings Predictions

Standalone DraftKings prediction markets app trading on CFTC-regulated exchanges

6.3Prelim

Strengths

  • The most thorough per-contract contingency drafting of the US brokers — a named source agency, a 48-hour clock and an explicit revision rule
  • Broker and exchange both verifiable on the regulators’ own records
  • Specifications are fixed as of the first day of trading, so terms cannot move under an open position
  • A flat $0.01 per-contract fee rather than a formula that peaks at the midpoint
  • Certifications are openly fetchable with no login

Watch out

  • Its own Rule 9.5(b) promises published disciplinary notices and no such page exists
  • Certifications defer the decisive parameters to “the Market Specifications”, a term the rulebook never defines
  • Markets trade with no matching certification — hundreds of soccer contracts settled on a day when no soccer certification exists
  • Older generic certifications reserve an override “for any reason or no reason”
  • The rulebook names no regulator as a customer remedy for a disputed outcome
  • Every DraftKings web address blocks our fetcher, so we have never read a live contract page
$0.0008–$0.02/contract per side, by price
Fees
3
Markets
2025
Since
Go to DraftKings Predictions →Full review

4. FanDuel Predicts

FanDuel event contracts listed by CME Group and Crypto.com

6.2Prelim

Strengths

  • Contracts are listed and settled by CME, an established derivatives exchange, under a published rulebook chapter
  • Per-product contingencies are concrete and state what happens to an open position
  • The arbitration agreement expressly preserves CFTC reparations under Section 14
  • Exchange documents are public through CFTC filings and readable without an account

Watch out

  • For every sports, entertainment and awards contract, CME’s certified table gives the settlement source as “Fanduel” — the firm distributing the contract
  • No document describes how that data is produced or what happens if it is wrong
  • FanDuel’s public Predicts pages never say who determines outcomes, never cite the governing chapter and never mention the source
  • A catch-all lets the exchange set a settlement price in “sole discretion”
  • One sports contingency changed from cancelling positions to liquidating them at fair value while keeping the same label
  • No determination log is required or published anywhere
2¢ per $1 of potential payout; same to cash out
Fees
4
Markets
2025
Since
Go to FanDuel Predicts →Full review

5. Interactive Brokers ForecastTrader

Forecast contracts listed on ForecastEx, a CFTC-designated contract market

5.9Prelim

Strengths

  • A published specification for every contract — we checked roughly 11,470 live instruments and found none missing
  • The only venue we cover with a real, dated, public record of contested settlements: 439 notices including eight data overrides
  • A separate disciplinary log, which includes a filing against Interactive Brokers itself
  • Interest paid on open position value, which no other venue here offers
  • Contract terms settle the revision question explicitly rather than leaving it to be argued

Watch out

  • The exchange is a wholly owned subsidiary of the broker’s parent, so the broker owns the venue that decides
  • Determinations are “final and not subject to review”
  • The exchange’s own committee decides whether a dispute may go to arbitration, and that decision is final too
  • Binary contracts have been settled non-binary at 50/50, which the customer-facing FAQ does not prepare anyone for
  • Rule 415 assigns a data-error decision to a body the rulebook never defines
  • Economic and political contracts only — not a sports venue
3
Markets
Go to Interactive Brokers ForecastTrader →Full review

6. Crypto.com Prediction Markets

USD-settled event contracts in the Crypto.com app, listed by CDNA

5.8Prelim

Strengths

  • Contract specifications are filed with the CFTC, so they need no account to read and cannot be quietly edited
  • The elections contract names fourteen source agencies individually rather than gesturing at “official sources”
  • The delay contingency is written out: settlement waits until the source releases the outcome
  • Sits inside an app many US readers already have, with no separate account to open

Watch out

  • We could not locate CDNA on the CFTC’s own Designated Contract Market register, so no licence is claimed on this page
  • The CDNA rulebook, which the filings defer to for jurisdiction and enforcement, could not be retrieved
  • The fourteen source agencies apply “as determined by the Exchange”, so the authoritative outlet is chosen after the fact
  • No public record of past determinations was found
  • Available in the United States only
$0.01–$0.0175/contract taker · 0% maker
Fees
5
Markets
Go to Crypto.com Prediction Markets →Full review

7. Alpha Arcade

Algorand order-book prediction market for sports, politics and crypto

5.1Prelim

Taker 0.07×p×(1−p); maker 0
Fees
7
Markets
AvailableFull review

8. PredictIt

Political event contracts run under CFTC no-action relief

3.9Prelim

Strengths

  • Every market’s settlement rules are readable through a public API with no account — better disclosure than several regulated venues
  • The longest continuous price history in US political prediction markets
  • Settlement is targeted at under 48 hours, and the venue says so rather than leaving it open
  • Political questions listed here that designated exchanges do not offer

Watch out

  • No regulator at all — its own terms say it is not regulated by the CFTC “or any other regulatory authority”
  • The operator writes the rules and judges the outcomes, and its decision is stated to be “final”
  • Accepting the terms waives your right to seek other remedies, with disputes sent to AAA arbitration
  • The terms permit cancelling an account “for any reason”, expressly including because you began a dispute
  • A per-participant cap tied to the federal contribution limit, so position size is constrained by rule
  • The CFTC no-action letters say nothing about determination or recourse, despite being cited as if they did
10% of profit · 5% on withdrawals
Fees
2
Markets
Go to PredictIt →Full review

9. Delphi

User-created USDC markets on Gensyn with AI-run automated settlement

3.5Prelim

Creator-set, default 2% per trade
Fees
6
Markets
AvailableFull review

10. Polymarket US

CFTC-regulated US event-contract exchange run by QCX LLC, USD only

7.3Prelim

Taker ≤$1.74 per 100 at 50¢ · maker rebate
Fees
7
Markets
RestrictedFull review

11. Polymarket

Largest on-chain prediction market by volume

6.9Prelim

Strengths

  • Deepest liquidity in the category on major markets
  • Fastest listing of new events
  • No maker trading fees under the published schedule
  • Public API with full order book access

Watch out

  • Requires a wallet and USDC — no fiat rails
  • International product has country restrictions; Polymarket US is separate
  • Thin depth on long-tail markets
  • Network fees apply to deposits and withdrawals
$2
Min deposit
0% maker · taker by category and price
Fees
7
Markets
2020
Since
Go to Polymarket →Full review

12. ADI PredictStreet

Gibraltar-licensed YES/NO prediction exchange settled on ADI Chain

6.3Prelim

Per-trade commission (rate shown per market)
Fees
6
Markets
2026
Since
Availability unverifiedFull review

13. ParamX

Sui exchange for $1 touch contracts on crypto, stocks and futures

4.4Prelim

0.30% taker, 0% maker
Fees
2
Markets
Availability unverifiedFull review

14. Precog Markets

Open-source LS-LMSR prediction markets on Base and Arbitrum

4.2Prelim

No buy fee; market-set sell fee
Fees
6
Markets
Availability unverifiedFull review

15. Seer

Permissionless markets on Gnosis/Ethereum via Reality.eth and Kleros

3.9Prelim

4
Markets
Availability unverifiedFull review

16. STRATO Odds

Hourly/daily YES/NO price markets on gold, silver, crypto and stocks

3.8Prelim

2% taker, 0% maker, 0.01 USDST/tx
Fees
2
Markets
Availability unverifiedFull review

17. Dexsport

Prediction markets and a crypto sportsbook, with a casino

7.3Editor

Strengths

  • Gaming licence verified on the Anjouan register (ALSI-202508043-FI2, valid to 28 Aug 2027)
  • Prediction markets on politics, economics and crypto alongside a deep sportsbook
  • Deposits and withdrawals on 23 networks in 50+ cryptocurrencies, from a few cents
  • Smart-contract audits by CertiK and Pessimistic; bonus terms published in full

Watch out

  • No identity checks (“No KYC”): fewer protections if an account or funds are disputed
  • Offshore gambling licence only — no financial or derivatives regulator oversees it
  • Closed to the US and about 25 other countries; illegal to use in many others
  • About 7% margin in sampled sports odds; prediction-market fees are not published
  • A deposit must be wagered before it can be withdrawn; sports wins capped at $5,000
  • Disputes go to LCIA arbitration in London, with a class-action waiver
  • Casino bonus needs x40 wagering in 7 days, with capped winnings
No fee stated; ~7% margin in sampled odds
Fees
5
Markets
2021
Since
UnavailableFull review

18. Opinion

On-chain binary markets on BNB Chain; closed to the US, the UK and all of the EU

5.7Prelim

Strengths

  • The widest category set of any venue added to this site in September, including hourly crypto markets
  • Books were genuinely two-sided across four categories at once when we read them
  • Third in the category by reported volume, behind only Kalshi and Polymarket
  • Publishes concrete dispute terms — a window, a stake formula and the consequence of losing
  • Names its operator in its terms of use

Watch out

  • Closed to the United States, the United Kingdom and all of the European Union
  • The primary resolver is “Opinion AI”, with no account of its inputs, model or sources
  • The review step is written with no actor: who performs it is never identified
  • Whether the team can resolve or override a market itself is not addressed anywhere
  • Only one dispute is permitted per resolution, so the first challenger spends the market’s single appeal
  • No stated jurisdiction of incorporation, licence or regulator
Taker ≤1% by price, $0.25 min; maker rebate
Fees
5
Markets
Go to Opinion →Full review

19. Predict.fun

Non-custodial event contracts on BNB Chain, with yield on USDT collateral

5.4Prelim

Strengths

  • Non-custodial: the venue never holds your balance
  • Zero maker fee, so posting liquidity costs only the spread you offer
  • Yield paid on USDT collateral while it sits against an open position — unique among the venues we cover
  • Six of the seven categories we track, the widest verified breadth of any venue we built from primary sources
  • Names its operating entity, which most on-chain venues do not

Watch out

  • Its own documentation describes two incompatible resolution mechanisms, both live on the same day
  • The developer page for the deployed oracle states “No bonding or dispute mechanism (simplified trust model)”
  • Admins can flag questions for emergency resolution, documented in developer pages rather than in the user terms
  • A role holder can settle Chainlink market rounds manually
  • No licence, no regulator, and no stated jurisdiction of incorporation
0% maker · taker by price
Fees
6
Markets
Go to Predict.fun →Full review

20. Pascal

Non-custodial order-book prediction exchange on Solana

5.3Prelim

Taker 2% x p x (1-p); makers get 25%
Fees
5
Markets
UnavailableFull review

21. Trueo

Prediction markets on Base where open positions earn yield; closed to the US and Canada

5.2Prelim

Strengths

  • A permissionless optimistic oracle: anyone may propose an outcome by posting a bond, opening a 12-hour challenge window
  • Four named escalation stages ending with 11 randomly selected attesters
  • Constrains its own privileged body — all Oracle Council decisions may be permissionlessly challenged
  • No admin override, emergency power or discretion clause attaches to market outcomes anywhere in the documentation
  • Names its operator and publishes a full restricted-territories list with “We do not make exceptions”

Watch out

  • None of the design is evidenced in operation: there is no public dispute record
  • The final escalation is gated at 250,000 liquid TRUE, putting the last word with large holders
  • Market creation is still restricted to Oracle Council members in the genesis phase
  • The sources a dispute is judged against are not fixed — alternatives may be used
  • No licence or regulator; Samoa incorporation carries no consumer protection a reader could invoke
4
Markets
Go to Trueo →Full review

22. Myriad Markets

On-chain prediction markets settled in USD1 on BNB Smart Chain, and USDC.e on Abstract

5.0Prelim

Strengths

  • A three-dollar minimum, among the lowest barriers to entry we list
  • Zero maker fee
  • Per-market rules are published, so you can read what a contract turns on before trading
  • Settlement in USD1 or USDC.e, across crypto, politics, economy and sports

Watch out

  • The entire documented settlement process is one sentence: the team resolves
  • No oracle, no challenge window, no bond and no escalation anywhere in nineteen documentation pages
  • The only route offered to anyone disputing a settlement is a support ticket to the party that made it
  • The deployed contract carries an admin function that writes outcomes directly without calling an oracle
  • Myriad’s own commissioned audit says role holders have “control over which side wins”
  • The terms of use disclose no such role and reserve no such discretion
$3
Min deposit
0% maker · taker by price
Fees
4
Markets
Go to Myriad Markets →Full review

23. Meridian Predict

RFQ-auction prediction markets settled in USDe

4.7Prelim

No trading fees
Fees
5
Markets
UnavailableFull review

24. Limitless Exchange

Order-book and AMM event markets on Base, fully collateralised in USDC

4.5Prelim

Strengths

  • Every YES + NO pair is fully collateralised by $1.00 USDC, so the money to pay the winner is locked at creation
  • Names its operator: Street Chow Inc., a Panamanian company, in terms dated 19 June 2026
  • Full market criteria are served to an unauthenticated API request
  • Publishes its refund policy plainly, which several venues in this pool do not

Watch out

  • The CFTC register entry reads Pending, not Designated — an application confers nothing
  • Settlement is centralised: Pyth resolves most markets, the Limitless team resolves the rest
  • No challenge window, no bond and no escalation; the documented remedy is an email
  • A misresolved market refunds only your stake, while the wrong side keeps its winnings
  • No licence or registration stated anywhere in its own documentation
AMM 0.40% · order-book taker varies
Fees
5
Markets
Go to Limitless Exchange →Full review

25. Prophet Prediction Market

AI-priced, AI-resolved prediction markets on Polygon (beta)

3.5Prelim

No commission; ~20% spread
Fees
7
Markets
UnavailableFull review

26. Space

Prediction markets on Solana; no terms or documentation published

2.6Prelim

Strengths

  • Crypto markets resolve on a 15-minute TWAP with Pyth primary and Switchboard as a named fallback — manipulation-resistant by design
  • Real-world events require a 2-of-3 operator multisig rather than a single key
  • Publishes terms at all, which several venues in this cohort do not
  • Documents a 24-to-48-hour flagging route for incorrect resolutions

Watch out

  • The terms grant no right to flag: resolution criteria are “final and binding” and you waive claims over data sources, delays and voiding
  • Space “may cancel or void a Market at any time” and may extend the resolution period at sole discretion
  • It reserves the right to modify the underlying smart contracts at any time, which sits above the TWAP design
  • The AI validation step is undescribed — no model, inputs or evidence standard
  • The site carried no link to terms, privacy, legal, docs, about or FAQ, and /terms returned HTTP 500
  • No volume or depth data is published
Maker 0%; taker 0.02–2% buy, 0.02–1% sell
Fees
5
Markets
Go to Space →Full review

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How to choose

Economic contracts compete with instruments that already exist, from fed funds futures to options. A prediction market is worth using when it gives a simpler or cheaper position for the view you hold; our comparison of prediction markets and options sets out when that is true.

Check the exact release a contract settles on — a headline CPI figure and a core figure are different contracts — and the time it settles, which is usually the moment the data is published.