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Best prediction markets for economics and interest rates

Every scored platform that lists economic markets — Fed rate decisions, inflation prints, jobs numbers, GDP — ranked by Editor Score.

These are among the cleanest contracts to settle: they resolve on official data releases rather than on anyone’s judgement. What separates the platforms is cost, depth at the price you want, and whether you can use them where you live.

Updated

Ranked platforms

  1. Kalshi

    8.0/10preliminary
    Regulated✅ Available

    KalshiEX is a CFTC-designated contract market; Kalshi's own blog says its contracts, including sports, are legal in all 50 states, DC and US territories. The Member Agreement names no US state as restricted.

    Visit site →Read review

  2. FanDuel Predicts

    6.2/10preliminary
    Broker✅ Available

    FanDuel Predicts is available in all 50 states and DC. Users must be 18+ and verify their identity. It is not available on or near tribal land.

    Visit site →Read review

  3. Interactive Brokers ForecastTrader

    5.9/10preliminary
    Broker✅ Available

    Clients of Interactive Brokers LLC aged 21+ are eligible for event/forecast contracts; ForecastEx contracts on US election results are limited to eligible US residents.

    Visit site →Read review

  4. Crypto.com Prediction Markets

    5.8/10preliminary
    Regulated✅ Available

    Prediction Trading (and Sports Event Trading) is a CFTC-regulated feature of the Crypto.com App, offered through Crypto.com | Derivatives North America. The help centre says it is available in the US only.

    Visit site →Read review

  5. PredictIt

    3.9/10preliminary
    Regulated✅ Available

    The Terms and Conditions limit participation to people aged 18 or older who are U.S. Persons. They name no US state as excluded. PredictIt runs under CFTC no-action relief.

    Visit site →Read review

  6. Polymarket

    6.9/10preliminary
    Crypto⚠️ Restrictions

    The international polymarket.com site is closed to US residents: no deposits and no trades. The help centre lists the US as blocked and the API docs list it as close-only. US residents are sent to the separate Polymarket US app, run by QCX LLC (a CFTC DCM). Polymarket US state-level eligibility was not verified because its ToS page loads its text client-side.

    Visit site →Read review

  7. Opinion

    5.7/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    United States named in the Restricted Jurisdictions list; trading not permitted. Terms of Use (no date shown), Restricted Jurisdictions clause.

    Visit site →Read review

  8. Predict.fun

    5.4/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    USA named as a restricted jurisdiction; trading not permitted, content features only. Terms of Service last updated November 18, 2025.

    Visit site →Read review

  9. Trueo

    5.2/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Contracts and services are not offered to US Persons. Terms of Use (no date shown).

    Visit site →Read review

  10. Space

    2.6/10preliminary
    Crypto❌ Unavailable

    Terms of Service (no date shown) state the Services are not available to US Persons, including those accessing from US territory.

    Visit site →Read review

Every platform reviewed

1. Kalshi

CFTC-regulated event contract exchange

8.0Prelim

Strengths

  • CFTC-designated contract market
  • Fiat deposits and withdrawals, no wallet needed
  • Default maker fee is zero, with charged series exceptions
  • Mobile apps on both platforms

Watch out

  • Country restrictions and account approval apply to international users
  • Narrower market selection than on-chain venues
  • KYC required before you can trade
  • Trading fees vary by contract price and series
$10
Min deposit
7
Markets
2021
Since
Go to Kalshi →Full review

2. FanDuel Predicts

FanDuel event contracts listed by CME Group and Crypto.com

6.2Prelim

Strengths

  • Contracts are listed and settled by CME, an established derivatives exchange, under a published rulebook chapter
  • Per-product contingencies are concrete and state what happens to an open position
  • The arbitration agreement expressly preserves CFTC reparations under Section 14
  • Exchange documents are public through CFTC filings and readable without an account

Watch out

  • For every sports, entertainment and awards contract, CME’s certified table gives the settlement source as “Fanduel” — the firm distributing the contract
  • No document describes how that data is produced or what happens if it is wrong
  • FanDuel’s public Predicts pages never say who determines outcomes, never cite the governing chapter and never mention the source
  • A catch-all lets the exchange set a settlement price in “sole discretion”
  • One sports contingency changed from cancelling positions to liquidating them at fair value while keeping the same label
  • No determination log is required or published anywhere
4
Markets
2025
Since
Go to FanDuel Predicts →Full review

3. Interactive Brokers ForecastTrader

Forecast contracts listed on ForecastEx, a CFTC-designated contract market

5.9Prelim

Strengths

  • A published specification for every contract — we checked roughly 11,470 live instruments and found none missing
  • The only venue we cover with a real, dated, public record of contested settlements: 439 notices including eight data overrides
  • A separate disciplinary log, which includes a filing against Interactive Brokers itself
  • Interest paid on open position value, which no other venue here offers
  • Contract terms settle the revision question explicitly rather than leaving it to be argued

Watch out

  • The exchange is a wholly owned subsidiary of the broker’s parent, so the broker owns the venue that decides
  • Determinations are “final and not subject to review”
  • The exchange’s own committee decides whether a dispute may go to arbitration, and that decision is final too
  • Binary contracts have been settled non-binary at 50/50, which the customer-facing FAQ does not prepare anyone for
  • Rule 415 assigns a data-error decision to a body the rulebook never defines
  • Economic and political contracts only — not a sports venue
3
Markets
Go to Interactive Brokers ForecastTrader →Full review

4. Crypto.com Prediction Markets

USD-settled event contracts in the Crypto.com app, listed by CDNA

5.8Prelim

Strengths

  • Contract specifications are filed with the CFTC, so they need no account to read and cannot be quietly edited
  • The elections contract names fourteen source agencies individually rather than gesturing at “official sources”
  • The delay contingency is written out: settlement waits until the source releases the outcome
  • Sits inside an app many US readers already have, with no separate account to open

Watch out

  • We could not locate CDNA on the CFTC’s own Designated Contract Market register, so no licence is claimed on this page
  • The CDNA rulebook, which the filings defer to for jurisdiction and enforcement, could not be retrieved
  • The fourteen source agencies apply “as determined by the Exchange”, so the authoritative outlet is chosen after the fact
  • No public record of past determinations was found
  • Available in the United States only
5
Markets
Go to Crypto.com Prediction Markets →Full review

5. PredictIt

Political event contracts run under CFTC no-action relief

3.9Prelim

Strengths

  • Every market’s settlement rules are readable through a public API with no account — better disclosure than several regulated venues
  • The longest continuous price history in US political prediction markets
  • Settlement is targeted at under 48 hours, and the venue says so rather than leaving it open
  • Political questions listed here that designated exchanges do not offer

Watch out

  • No regulator at all — its own terms say it is not regulated by the CFTC “or any other regulatory authority”
  • The operator writes the rules and judges the outcomes, and its decision is stated to be “final”
  • Accepting the terms waives your right to seek other remedies, with disputes sent to AAA arbitration
  • The terms permit cancelling an account “for any reason”, expressly including because you began a dispute
  • A per-participant cap tied to the federal contribution limit, so position size is constrained by rule
  • The CFTC no-action letters say nothing about determination or recourse, despite being cited as if they did
2
Markets
Go to PredictIt →Full review

6. Polymarket

Largest on-chain prediction market by volume

6.9Prelim

Strengths

  • Deepest liquidity in the category on major markets
  • Fastest listing of new events
  • No maker trading fees under the published schedule
  • Public API with full order book access

Watch out

  • Requires a wallet and USDC — no fiat rails
  • International product has country restrictions; Polymarket US is separate
  • Thin depth on long-tail markets
  • Network fees apply to deposits and withdrawals
$2
Min deposit
7
Markets
2020
Since
Go to Polymarket →Full review

7. Opinion

On-chain binary markets on BNB Chain; closed to the US, the UK and all of the EU

5.7Prelim

Strengths

  • The widest category set of any venue added to this site in September, including hourly crypto markets
  • Books were genuinely two-sided across four categories at once when we read them
  • Third in the category by reported volume, behind only Kalshi and Polymarket
  • Publishes concrete dispute terms — a window, a stake formula and the consequence of losing
  • Names its operator in its terms of use

Watch out

  • Closed to the United States, the United Kingdom and all of the European Union
  • The primary resolver is “Opinion AI”, with no account of its inputs, model or sources
  • The review step is written with no actor: who performs it is never identified
  • Whether the team can resolve or override a market itself is not addressed anywhere
  • Only one dispute is permitted per resolution, so the first challenger spends the market’s single appeal
  • No stated jurisdiction of incorporation, licence or regulator
5
Markets
Go to Opinion →Full review

8. Predict.fun

Non-custodial event contracts on BNB Chain, with yield on USDT collateral

5.4Prelim

Strengths

  • Non-custodial: the venue never holds your balance
  • Zero maker fee, so posting liquidity costs only the spread you offer
  • Yield paid on USDT collateral while it sits against an open position — unique among the venues we cover
  • Six of the seven categories we track, the widest verified breadth of any venue we built from primary sources
  • Names its operating entity, which most on-chain venues do not

Watch out

  • Its own documentation describes two incompatible resolution mechanisms, both live on the same day
  • The developer page for the deployed oracle states “No bonding or dispute mechanism (simplified trust model)”
  • Admins can flag questions for emergency resolution, documented in developer pages rather than in the user terms
  • A role holder can settle Chainlink market rounds manually
  • No licence, no regulator, and no stated jurisdiction of incorporation
6
Markets
Go to Predict.fun →Full review

9. Trueo

Prediction markets on Base where open positions earn yield; closed to the US and Canada

5.2Prelim

Strengths

  • A permissionless optimistic oracle: anyone may propose an outcome by posting a bond, opening a 12-hour challenge window
  • Four named escalation stages ending with 11 randomly selected attesters
  • Constrains its own privileged body — all Oracle Council decisions may be permissionlessly challenged
  • No admin override, emergency power or discretion clause attaches to market outcomes anywhere in the documentation
  • Names its operator and publishes a full restricted-territories list with “We do not make exceptions”

Watch out

  • None of the design is evidenced in operation: there is no public dispute record
  • The final escalation is gated at 250,000 liquid TRUE, putting the last word with large holders
  • Market creation is still restricted to Oracle Council members in the genesis phase
  • The sources a dispute is judged against are not fixed — alternatives may be used
  • No licence or regulator; Samoa incorporation carries no consumer protection a reader could invoke
4
Markets
Go to Trueo →Full review

10. Space

Prediction markets on Solana; no terms or documentation published

2.6Prelim

Strengths

  • Crypto markets resolve on a 15-minute TWAP with Pyth primary and Switchboard as a named fallback — manipulation-resistant by design
  • Real-world events require a 2-of-3 operator multisig rather than a single key
  • Publishes terms at all, which several venues in this cohort do not
  • Documents a 24-to-48-hour flagging route for incorrect resolutions

Watch out

  • The terms grant no right to flag: resolution criteria are “final and binding” and you waive claims over data sources, delays and voiding
  • Space “may cancel or void a Market at any time” and may extend the resolution period at sole discretion
  • It reserves the right to modify the underlying smart contracts at any time, which sits above the TWAP design
  • The AI validation step is undescribed — no model, inputs or evidence standard
  • The site carried no link to terms, privacy, legal, docs, about or FAQ, and /terms returned HTTP 500
  • No volume or depth data is published
5
Markets
Go to Space →Full review

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How to choose

Economic contracts compete with instruments that already exist, from fed funds futures to options. A prediction market is worth using when it gives a simpler or cheaper position for the view you hold; our comparison of prediction markets and options sets out when that is true.

Check the exact release a contract settles on — a headline CPI figure and a core figure are different contracts — and the time it settles, which is usually the moment the data is published.