Data · reference table
NBA championship odds: every team’s chance, from prediction markets
What traders are paying on each NBA team to win the 2026-27 championship, read as a percentage chance. Prices come from Polymarket and refresh every 15 minutes; a team appears only where at least $10,000 has been traded and buyers and sellers are close on price.
Chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask on Polymarket’s public market data; untraded and stale markets are left out. Market prices are traders’ estimates, not forecasts, and change through the day. Last updated . Free to cite with a link to this page. Not legal advice.
Who will win the 2027 NBA championship?
Polymarket, “NBA: 2027 Champion”: $38.7M traded in total. See the market
| Team | Chance | 7-day change (points) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 22.5% | +1.0 | $1.2M |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 14.5% | −1.0 | $1.4M |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 10.1% | −3.1 | $2.0M |
| Boston Celtics | 7.5% | +1.0 | $1.2M |
| New York Knicks | 7.5% | +1.0 | $1.2M |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 6.5% | +0.9 | $1.3M |
| Houston Rockets | 5.1% | −0.9 | $1.6M |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 4.5% | +1.0 | $1.5M |
| Detroit Pistons | 4.0% | −0.5 | $1.3M |
| Toronto Raptors | 3.6% | −0.1 | $1.3M |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 2.8% | — | $1.5M |
| Denver Nuggets | 2.6% | +0.1 | $1.3M |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 2.1% | −0.1 | $1.3M |
| Miami Heat | 2.1% | +0.4 | $1.3M |
| Golden State Warriors | 2.1% | −0.1 | $1.9M |
| Indiana Pacers | 1.4% | +0.1 | $1.2M |
| Atlanta Hawks | 1.1% | +0.1 | $1.3M |
| Dallas Mavericks | 0.9% | +0.1 | $1.3M |
| Orlando Magic | 0.5% | −0.1 | $1.4M |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 0.5% | −0.2 | $1.2M |
| Washington Wizards | 0.4% | −0.1 | $1.1M |
| Charlotte Hornets | 0.3% | — | $1.2M |
| Phoenix Suns | 0.3% | — | $1.4M |
| Utah Jazz | 0.3% | — | $1.4M |
How to read these odds
A team at 12% is a contract trading at about 12¢ that pays $1 if it wins the title. Polymarket settles the market on the NBA champion for the 2026-27 season, and a team settles at $0 as soon as it can no longer win. The 7-day change is in percentage points: +2.0 means 10% became 12%. Turn any chance into American or decimal odds with the odds converter, and see how exchange prices compare with a sportsbook’s in prediction markets vs sportsbooks.
Where NBA futures trade
- Polymarket: the prices on this page. Not open to US residents. Polymarket review
- Polymarket US and Kalshi: CFTC-regulated sports contracts for US residents, limited in some states by court orders. Kalshi review · Kalshi lawsuits
Which you can use depends on where you live: availability by state and the best sports prediction markets. Not betting or investment advice.
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite to win the NBA championship?
On Polymarket right now: San Antonio Spurs 22.5%, Oklahoma City Thunder 14.5%, Philadelphia 76ers 10.1%. Prices refresh every 15 minutes and move with results, injuries and trades over the season.
- How do prediction market NBA odds work?
Each team has a contract that pays $1 if it wins the championship and nothing if not, so a 12¢ price reads as a 12% chance. A team that is eliminated settles at $0 straight away.
- How are these different from sportsbook odds?
A sportsbook sets its own odds with a margin built in. Here traders set the price against each other on an exchange, and the chances across all teams add up to only a little over 100%. Convert any chance to American or decimal odds with our odds converter.
- Can you bet on the NBA Finals on prediction markets in the US?
Polymarket’s main site, whose prices are shown here, does not accept US residents; its separate Polymarket US app and Kalshi offer sports contracts under CFTC rules. Several states dispute that, and courts have ordered some platforms to block sports contracts, so check your state first.