Data · reference table
Super Bowl odds: every team’s chance, from prediction markets
What traders are paying on each NFL team to win the championship that ends the 2026 season, in early 2027, read as a percentage chance. Prices come from Polymarket and refresh every 15 minutes; a team appears only where at least $10,000 has been traded and buyers and sellers are close on price.
Chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask on Polymarket’s public market data; untraded and stale markets are left out. Market prices are traders’ estimates, not forecasts, and change through the day. Last updated . Free to cite with a link to this page. Not legal advice.
Who will win the Super Bowl?
Polymarket, “Pro Football: 2027 Champion”: $73.3M traded in total. See the market
| Team | Chance | 7-day change (points) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 14.5% | +1.0 | $1.4M |
| San Francisco 49ers | 14.1% | −0.1 | $1.9M |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 12.4% | +1.7 | $2.2M |
| Chicago Bears | 10.4% | −1.7 | $2.0M |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9.3% | +0.4 | $2.0M |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5.8% | +0.8 | $2.0M |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5.0% | +1.9 | $1.7M |
| Los Angeles Rams | 4.5% | −3.0 | $1.5M |
| Denver Broncos | 4.3% | −0.2 | $2.2M |
| Detroit Lions | 3.8% | +0.1 | $1.8M |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3.5% | −1.1 | $1.5M |
| Green Bay Packers | 2.9% | +0.4 | $2.0M |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1.8% | −0.1 | $1.8M |
| New England Patriots | 1.7% | −1.5 | $1.4M |
| Houston Texans | 1.6% | +0.3 | $2.8M |
| New York Giants | 1.1% | −0.1 | $1.7M |
| Dallas Cowboys | 1.0% | −0.2 | $1.9M |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0.7% | −0.1 | $4.7M |
| Baltimore Ravens | 0.5% | −0.1 | $2.1M |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.4% | −0.4 | $4.4M |
| Washington Commanders | 0.4% | — | $2.0M |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.3% | −0.4 | $1.8M |
| Cleveland Browns | 0.3% | — | $2.5M |
| New Orleans Saints | 0.3% | −0.1 | $2.6M |
How to read these odds
A team at 12% is a contract trading at about 12¢ that pays $1 if it wins the title. Polymarket settles the market on the 2027 NFL league championship, using the NFL’s own results, and a team settles at $0 as soon as it can no longer win. The 7-day change is in percentage points: +2.0 means 10% became 12%. Turn any chance into American or decimal odds with the odds converter, and see how exchange prices compare with a sportsbook’s in prediction markets vs sportsbooks.
Where NFL futures trade
- Polymarket: the prices on this page. Not open to US residents. Polymarket review
- Polymarket US and Kalshi: CFTC-regulated sports contracts for US residents, limited in some states by court orders. Kalshi review · Kalshi lawsuits
Which you can use depends on where you live: availability by state and the best sports prediction markets. Not betting or investment advice.
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite to win the Super Bowl?
On Polymarket right now: Buffalo Bills 14.5%, San Francisco 49ers 14.1%, Jacksonville Jaguars 12.4%. Prices refresh every 15 minutes and move with every game, injury and trade.
- How do prediction market Super Bowl odds work?
Each team has a contract that pays $1 if it wins the championship and nothing if not, so a 12¢ price reads as a 12% chance. A team that is eliminated settles at $0 straight away.
- How are these different from sportsbook odds?
A sportsbook sets its own odds with a margin built in. Here traders set the price against each other on an exchange, and the chances across all teams add up to only a little over 100%. Convert any chance to American or decimal odds with our odds converter.
- Can you bet on the Super Bowl on prediction markets in the US?
Polymarket’s main site, whose prices are shown here, does not accept US residents; its separate Polymarket US app and Kalshi offer sports contracts under CFTC rules. Several states dispute that, and courts have ordered some platforms to block sports contracts, so check your state first.